Hudini...from your unique perspective, thoughts on the new Chinese corona virus (Page 27/146)
MidEngineManiac FEB 12, 12:37 PM
No longer infected.

https://globalnews.ca/news/...d19-coronavirus/amp/
MadMark FEB 12, 07:58 PM
Well the figures for tonight are not good at all. The rate of infection was slowing down but tonight the rate of infection jumped to 60k from 45k. And the deaths jumped over 300 just in one day. That is not good and shows that the Chinese government just tried to catch up to the real figures or if this is a real actual jump the rate of new infections just went extremely parabolic.

maryjane FEB 12, 09:18 PM
It didn't really make sense did it Mark?
On the 10th of Feb the total infections was 42,300.
24 hrs later on the 11th, it was listed at 44,300...a 2000 jump.
24 hrs after that Feb 12 it was only 44,700...only 300 new infections in the same time period that had previously run several thousand??

Now, Feb 13 it suddenly increased by over 15,000 in 24 hrs....something is amiss. Even accounting for a 'several thousand' error between the 11th and 12th, the current increase is a notable sea change.



Equally concerning is that only about 1/10 of the total infections inside China have recovered. 5,968 of 60,286.
MadMark FEB 12, 09:43 PM
No it didn't maryjane. Some drastically changed. For a few days it seemed like it was leveling off away from an exponential increase. Like it was close to peaking. Then wham 15k in one day.

And I noted before that the recovery rate was way low. So to me that was troubling.

Today's new infections are very troubling to me. If it stays high like today. China first then the world will be in dire straights. The number of sick people especially those seriously sick is going to reach a point where they can't take proper care of the sick. Once that happens the death rate will accelerate drastically.

williegoat FEB 12, 09:53 PM
Maybe the guy who was responsible for updating the numbers died was home sick for a few days and when he was replaced returned to work he had to catch up.
MadMark FEB 12, 09:55 PM
I just found an article on BBC that said China change their standard/definition of who has the virus which is what caused the jump today. I am not sure how this will affect things down the road. So maybe it wasn't as bad as I originally thought.
maryjane FEB 12, 10:17 PM
I think I read the same BBC article, and another from Financial Times..and the FT article said many people aren't able to get to a DR because no one is allowed to drive or take public transportation. Stand in a long line to be seen and even then may have to go back home and get back in a new line the next day, after walking several miles to get to the Dr.
Supposedly, most of China outside of Wuhan returned to work yesterday . Not sure how that is going to affect infection rates...

I have an internet acquaintance on another board whose father-in-law is still sequestered on the cruise ship in Japan. They've all lawyer ed up, wanting to get off the ship.

[This message has been edited by maryjane (edited 02-12-2020).]

maryjane FEB 12, 11:08 PM
Tonight:
.Another 44 people have tested positive for the novel coronavirus aboard the Diamond Princess cruise ship docked in Yokohama, Japanese health minister Katsunobu Kato said on Thursday.

This bring the total number of cases on the ship to 219, including one Japanese quarantine officer -- the largest outbreak of the virus outside of mainland China.)
Hudini FEB 13, 04:53 AM

quote
Originally posted by williegoat:

Maybe the guy who was responsible for updating the numbers died was home sick for a few days and when he was replaced returned to work he had to catch up.



According to the gov you are not far off. New people, new reporting procedures.

"China also replaced its top officials in Hubei and its capital, Wuhan.

Former Shanghai Mayor Ying Yong succeeds Jiang Chaoliang as the ruling Communist Party's chief in the beleaguered province, the Xinhua state news agency reported, while Wang Zhonglin will take over from Ma Guoqiang as the party secretary in Wuhan."

http://www.startribune.com/...epicenter/567825772/
maryjane FEB 13, 05:39 AM

quote
Originally posted by Hudini:


According to the gov you are not far off. New people, new reporting procedures.

"China also replaced its top officials in Hubei and its capital, Wuhan.

Former Shanghai Mayor Ying Yong succeeds Jiang Chaoliang as the ruling Communist Party's chief in the beleaguered province, the Xinhua state news agency reported, while Wang Zhonglin will take over from Ma Guoqiang as the party secretary in Wuhan."

http://www.startribune.com/...epicenter/567825772/




And, that's not surprising either.


quote
Following his death, hundreds of thousands of people posted demands for free speech online -- that were themselves quickly scrubbed by the censors.

As the outrage threatened to boil over, Beijing quickly dispatched an anti-corruption task force to Wuhan and surrounding Hubei province -- the epicenter of the outbreak -- with the clear implication that they would come back with some scalps to assuage public anger.