The first 2020 'official' election prediction thread..... (Page 49/76)
maryjane DEC 11, 09:10 AM

quote
Originally posted by olejoedad:

I feel like I just hiked through a cattle pen.



Won't hurt a bit.
I do it all the time.




olejoedad DEC 11, 01:36 PM
Yeah, I should have clarified - felt like I was bare-foot.
williegoat DEC 11, 02:14 PM

quote
Originally posted by olejoedad:

Yeah, I should have clarified - felt like I was bare-foot.


I can picture maryjane as Col. Potter said to Radar, "Son, that's a tiptoe through the tulips".
rinselberg DEC 11, 07:33 PM
SCOTUS has rejected the "Texas + 18 other states" lawsuit that's been described as Team Trump's "Hail Mary" to replace president elect Joe Biden with second term president Donald Trump.

It was a one-page response from SCOTUS: Texas has no standing in this matter. "It ain't any of yo' business, Mr Texas AG Ken Paxton."

In case you missed it on the previous page of this thread:
http://www.fiero.nl/forum/F.../125759-12.html#p450

VS

Team Trump's 'Hail Mary' VS Arizona Cardinals 'Hail Murray'

Self-aggrandizing, I know, but it's not that often that I feel so enthusiastic about a ruling from the "Supremes."

[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 12-11-2020).]

Hudini DEC 11, 09:40 PM
It’s like a game of tennis. Serve and return, serve and return. So far no points for the Trump team and time is running out.
rinselberg DEC 12, 12:42 AM
White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany

quote
"one in a quadrillion to the fourth power"


https://youtu.be/Go5MB9UJoeM?t=152

That number is 10-19

0.0000000000000000001

I think I have that accurately, but even if I am off by a '0' more or less, it's plain to see that is a very very small fraction of 1.

That is part of the "Texas + 18" lawsuit that was just rejected by the Supreme Court.

It is (purportedly) the odds that Biden could go on to win the election from the status of the election at 3am on November 4, after the 24 hours of the official election day on November 3. The odds, if the election were fair and not a "steal" by the Democrats.

I wonder if that is going to be the subject of a letter or article in one or more of the professional journals that cover the field of statistics, like "The American Statistician" or "The Journal of the Royal Statistical Society." The Royal Statistical Society. At least that offers the objectivity of an organization that is based an entire ocean's distance from the United States.

?

Hey wait. I just realized, my number is way way way off. It should be what... 10-60. I think that's it. A zero, a decimal point, then 59 zeros, and finally a 1.


------------------
La revolución del 15 de agosto

[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 12-12-2020).]

theBDub DEC 12, 12:48 AM
Despite what Trump has claimed, we’ve known the result of the election for over a month at this point. Anyone still wanting to bet that Trump hasn’t lost? I threw it out a few times, no bites.

Bueller... Bueller...
Hudini DEC 12, 01:41 AM
Oh he lost. But not without cheating. Just check the signatures of the mail in ballots vs the signatures on file. It’s never going to happen. This stink will hang over Sniffer Joe until Kamala takes over.
rinselberg DEC 12, 08:52 AM
AP FACT CHECK: Trump wrong on Georgia voter signature checks

Trump says Georgia’s secretary of state won’t let the people recounting ballots check the signatures for fraud.

How Georgia verifies signatures on absentee ballots

Fact Check: Georgia Rejected More Than 2,000 Absentee Ballots Because Of Signature Issues

Georgia recount signature-matching impossible despite demands from Trump, Republicans, says secretary of state. Ballot secrecy rules make signature-matching in a recount impossible.

Trump Repeats Inaccurate Claims About Georgia’s ‘Fake’ Recount

Signature matching can't be done during Georgia's audit | Here's why. Some have called for the statewide audit to include signature matching, but by the regular state processes it's already been done twice.

GA Republicans want ‘signature audit’ of absentee ballots. Why it likely won’t happen.

Pick one. You can't go wrong.
sourmash DEC 12, 09:15 AM
You can't have a zombie corpse nation without zombie corpse voters from the grave helping electe a zombie corpse administration.