The first 2020 'official' election prediction thread..... (Page 4/76)
steve308 NOV 02, 08:50 PM
I am at the point that I really don't care anymore....Just get all the local and national attack adds off the TV radio and you-tube. I'd like just for once to have a candidate, any candidate come out and say... My opponent is a nice person but I'm better for the job.
Khw NOV 02, 09:19 PM
I've yet to read the entire thread but I will after my post. Therefore some of my thoughts may have already been expressed by others. Some of them have been expressed by me before in other threads though some developments have tweaked them a bit.

Like you Don, I think Biden is going to win but I hope I'm wrong. From what I have seen, I think a lot of Trump supporters are over confident in their boisterous assertions about the landslide win he will have. Conversely, Biden supporters are very anti Trump to the point that I think we will see record voting numbers because of it. The current development, that I have not noticed in past years though maybe I just wasn't paying close enough attention, of the daily lead in to who is winning what state as votes are counted. While many on the right seem to think that there will be a overwhelming amount of Trump voters voting on the 3rd rather than voting by mail or early voting. I think the confidence in Trump winning will lead to less of a turnout as many will think Trump can't lose and be less motivated to actually get to the polling place and vote. I say that assuming the daily counts show Trump leading or being difficult to defeat. On the other hand, I think anti Trump people are more livid and that this will motivate them to vote regardless of what the daily count shows. However if it shows Trump winning or being difficult to beat the vile hatred of Trump will double down on them getting out to vote. Basically I think the hate is the deciding factor. The left hates Trump more than the right hates Biden. It's not that the right likes Biden by any means, it's more that the confidence they display in Trump makes their dislike of Biden less of a driving force. The left on the other hand is relying more on the hate of Trump than the like of Biden. As sad as it is to say, I think the hate will win.

As to what I foresee after the election. If Biden wins I don't think things will change dramatically. I think there will still be police shootings and rioting/looting. I think there will still be protesting of state government officials from Mayors to Governors. But in general it won't be much worse because the right has more regard for the law in general. Could it escalate over time? It may very well do that especially if Biden/Harris proceed to pack the SCOTUS, which I think they will do. On the other hand if Trump wins I see an immediate escalation of protests, riots and looting. This may be mitigated to some extent if the left takes the senate and retains the house. However, as has been displayed before, the left will eat it's own in their "protesting"*. We saw some of it when Hilary lost and I believe it will be even worse this time if Biden loses. How much worse is hard to quantify by any type of magnitude. Twice, three times as bad, I don't know. Sadly it has already escalated in some instances to violent retaliation resulting in deaths. I think that will likely increase and don't know how much will break the camel's back.

I hope I'm wrong. We have done our part to keep our state where I want it to be. My old state appears to still be what I fled, probably more solidly so. All I can do now is wait and see what happens.
rinselberg NOV 02, 09:50 PM

quote
Originally posted by maryjane:
Hmm. Didn't get any response in your R.I. thread so decided to bring it up somewhere there was a little action? Here's a hint. You won't get much in this thread either. No one really gives a crap about the tiniest state in the USA. But nice try.


It felt like a "rage tweet."

The (two) Rhode Island "Question 1" messages that I placed here. My messages. Raging against the predictable.

It was in one of those gaps or interludes of two or three hours or more without any new messages from anyone else. I don't know that I wouldn't have "dun it" anyway, but I might have saved it for the next such gap. If it weren't for that gap.

I just went back and thumb-nailed that image that I used. As I don't want to be "big footing" this Topic; just offering some variety.

[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 11-03-2020).]

2.5 NOV 03, 11:32 AM
I won't be surprised either way.

Vote and pray is all I can do.
olejoedad NOV 03, 11:55 AM
My voting place is rural, usually takes maybe ten minutes.
It took almost two hours to cast my ballot today, the line was very long.

The poll workers said that it has been super busy since they opened this morning.
Patrick NOV 03, 02:13 PM

quote
Originally posted by olejoedad:

The poll workers said that it has been super busy since they opened this morning.



That's good to hear. I hope voter turnout is similar to this across the entire US. That way, no matter who wins, we won't need to hear the losing side whine about how 30% of the population has determined the electoral outcome.
olejoedad NOV 03, 02:53 PM
It has always rankled me that people don't appreciate their voice in government. The coverage of the Iraqi people showing off their dye-stained thumbs and the joy on their faces should be a lesson to free people everywhere.
Blacktree NOV 03, 05:11 PM
Personally, I think the media outlets are waging a disinformation campaign. I think they're trying to make it look like Trump won't win, to sway the undecided voters. I also believe that media outlets engaging in such behavior should have their FCC licenses "re-evaluated". But that's just me.

[This message has been edited by Blacktree (edited 11-03-2020).]

Patrick NOV 03, 05:23 PM

quote
Originally posted by Blacktree:

Personally, I think the media outlets are waging a disinformation campaign. I think they're trying to make it look like Trump won't win, to sway the undecided voters.



That could just as easily backfire by motivating Trump supporters get out and vote.

Quit blaming the media for Trump's imminent defeat.
Blacktree NOV 03, 05:27 PM
We will see soon enough!