Hilary is coming (Page 2/3)
maryjane AUG 19, 12:55 PM
Man, we could use some of that tropical moisture!! The current 10 day forecast is almost the same as the last four-to-six 10 day forecast periods.

Sat 19
106°/77°
1%
SE 10 mph

Sun 20
Mostly Sunny
107°/77°
2%
E 10 mph


Mon 21
Sunny
106°/78°
0%
ENE 13 mph

Tue 22
PM Showers (YAY!!!)
99°/75°
31%
E 13 mph

Wed 23
Partly Cloudy
100°/76°
5%
E 10 mph

Thu 24
Mostly Sunny
104°/77°
12%
NE 7 mph

Fri 25
Mostly Sunny
105°/79°
4%
NE 6 mph

Sat 26
Mostly Sunny
105°/78°
3%
N 8 mph

Sun 27
Mostly Sunny
105°/77°
7%
NNE 8 mph

Mon 28
Mostly Sunny
102°/75°
11%
NE 8 mph

Tue 29
Mostly Sunny
103°/74°
3%
NE 8 mph

Wed 30
Mostly Sunny
103°/74°
5%
ENE 8 mph

Thu 31
Mostly Sunny
102°/75°
8%
SSE 9 mph

Fri 01
Mostly Sunny
102°/75°
10%
S 9 mph

Sat 02
Mostly Sunny
101°/75
18%
S 8 mph


Jake_Dragon AUG 19, 04:51 PM
The cool air is nice. The storm has shifted to the east some, they expect the rain to first hit the mountains so we wont get much of the initial storm but then when it moves north it will generate some winds that wills send more rain our way.
We are in a good location were we are, not so sure about the mountains and the beaches.
maryjane AUG 20, 01:48 PM
Tropical storms can generate a LOT of rainfall if they stall out or move slow.
Water tho, like S***, always goes down hill, so it's going to pile up on someone regardless.
Jake_Dragon AUG 20, 02:34 PM
It so humid here today, been raining on and off.
Feels like Florida.
rinselberg AUG 21, 03:15 AM
Ned Kleiner is a scientist and catastrophe modeler at Verisk. He has a PhD in atmospheric science from Harvard. And his report of three days ago for the Los Angeles Times explains why hurricanes and intense tropical storms have seldom visited Southern California in modern times—and why that could be changing.

"Opinion: Why hurricanes like Hilary have been so rare in California"
Ned Kleiner for the Los Angeles Times; August 18, 2023.
https://www.latimes.com/opi...ather-climate-change


quote
Recent research suggests that major hurricane landfalls in the eastern Pacific could become up to 30% more frequent if global temperatures increase by at least 2 degrees Celsius. In addition, it is believed that climate change will increase the frequency of extreme El Niño events by a factor of two by the end of the century.


A 4-minute "read."

[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 08-21-2023).]

maryjane AUG 21, 10:20 AM
So there's a 70% less chance they will be more frequent..
cliffw AUG 21, 10:45 AM

quote
Originally posted by rinselberg:
"Opinion:



Too much for a four minute read.

We know how you think.

[This message has been edited by cliffw (edited 08-21-2023).]

rinselberg AUG 22, 09:55 AM
"He Da Mann"



MSNBC daytime anchor Andrea Mitchell and Michael E. Mann in a 4-minute "chin wag" on Monday.

"Extreme heat, rain, and drought across the country is climate change 'in all of its forms' ..."

SYNOPSIS

[This message has been edited by rinselberg (edited 08-22-2023).]

Raydar AUG 22, 10:00 AM

[This message has been edited by Raydar (edited 08-22-2023).]

williegoat AUG 22, 10:20 AM
Every time I see this thread title pop back up:

Hilary is coming

a cold chill runs up my spine.